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美聯儲局副主席:伊朗戰爭短期內將推高通脹 暗示維持利率不變
外媒報道,美聯儲局副主席Philip Jefferson表示,預計伊朗戰爭將在短期內推高通脹,但認為目前的利率水平能讓聯儲局更好地決定未來的利率調整幅度及時間。他稱,正在密切關注中東局勢及全球能源市場,但現在判斷經濟將受到何種影響仍然是為時尚早,強調中東戰爭的影響很大程度取決於高能源價格的持續時間,認為短暫的動盪不太可能對經濟產生超過一或兩個季度的顯著影響,...
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美聯儲局副主席:伊朗戰爭短期內將推高通脹 暗示維持利率不變
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外媒報道,美聯儲局副主席Philip Jefferson表示,預計伊朗戰爭將在短期內推高通脹,但認為目前的利率水平能讓聯儲局更好地決定未來的利率調整幅度及時間。

他稱,正在密切關注中東局勢及全球能源市場,但現在判斷經濟將受到何種影響仍然是為時尚早,強調中東戰爭的影響很大程度取決於高能源價格的持續時間,認為短暫的動盪不太可能對經濟產生超過一或兩個季度的顯著影響,但持續高企的油價可能會產生重大影響。

他補充,到目前為止油價上漲對通脹的影響應該相對較小,但仍要密切關注更高的成本是否會反映到整個經濟的價格體系中。另一方面,關稅政策的持續不確定以及近期能源價格飆升,令美聯儲局在應對通脹及維持充分就業方面面臨更複雜的經濟狀況。

他稱,目前美國就業市場大致平衡,但風險偏向下行,預計今年失業率預計將維持在目前的4.4%左右,而經濟增張速度預計與去年持平或略快,但重申整體前景存在著很大的不確定性。(mn/w)

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